Morgan Dutemple
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Delivery

Project Risk Matrix

The risks that aren't written down are the ones that show up in crisis meetings. I built this tool to get project risks out of people's heads and onto a grid everyone can read and act on.

Add a risk

UnlikelyNear-certain
NegligibleCritical
Score:9Medium

No risks added yet. Enter the first risk identified on your project.

No data is stored — everything runs in your browser.

How to use this tool

  1. 1Add each identified risk with a description
  2. 2Rate the probability (1 to 5) and impact (1 to 5)
  3. 3Add a mitigation action for high-severity risks
  4. 4Review the heatmap and register sorted by criticality

Why it matters

An unrecorded risk is one you discover in a crisis meeting. The probability × impact matrix helps prioritise mitigation effort: not all risks deserve the same treatment. Critical risks (score 15-25) demand an immediate action plan; low risks can simply be monitored. A register visible to the whole team also prevents alerts from living only in one person's head.

Frequently asked questions

How do you rate probability and impact?
Probability: 1 = near-impossible, 3 = possible, 5 = near-certain. Impact: 1 = negligible for the project, 3 = significant disruption, 5 = threatens the entire project. Calibrate these ratings as a team so they mean the same thing to everyone.
What is the difference between a risk, an issue, and an assumption?
A risk is a future uncertain event that could negatively impact the project. An issue is a risk that has materialised. An assumption is a condition assumed to be true on which the plan relies: if it proves false, it becomes a risk. The matrix handles risks; issues go into the backlog.
How often should the risk register be updated?
At minimum at the start of each sprint or phase. Ideally, any new information about the project (workshop outcome, supplier feedback, client decision) should trigger a reassessment of affected risks.